2025report final edition- beyond extinction
We started writing 2025 reports in 1983 when they were future histories - intergenarational mapping opportunities if human and artificial intellects were to demaite a world in which each next girl or boy born has a good chance at life. That would mean integrating every vi;lage community (local GPS) into worldwide system design.
Dad and felow hournalisdts at The Economist had been invited to begin such onterviewing when he met von neuman Princeton 1951. Neumann sugegsted the most valuable leadership question ever : what goods can peopels unites with 100 times more tech each decade.
This is an extract from Vicount Ridley's retrospective review of 2025 Report which he published in remembrance of dad Norman Macrae in 2010. Since then 4 very diferent networks have invitedf me to listen to what dad inspired or how they current work is linked to his lifelong writings on Entrepreneurial Revolution
As you can see back in 1984 our timelines for the tech capability of the era of webs starting in 1990 was reasonably accurate. Our hopes for how nd what 8 billion beingsd would do with their time in the 2020s have not yet materialised. To be frank, we understand system design as spiralling to opposite outcomesd. The Orweellian big brother consequence of 100 times more tech was a continuoius risk we were hoping to mediate escape routes from
IF we the peopels do extingusih our species- do you see that as an education errors, a maths error, an invetment crisis...? We see it asl all three .
One of the 4 devriefings led to 16 trips to bangaldesh. Dad would have loved to have joined in cataloguing how a billion vilage women across Asia empowered a chnage to Aid . I call this the tele0 human development model because for most pof the last quarter of the 20th century this progress was made with no access to electricity grids.From this debriefing I realise that 6 different herstoroes (or histories) have been coliding depending on ccess to Intellect Communicatiosn Tech - from no electricity and no long dfistance )tele-) communications (thats everyone before 1865) to 3 wholly differenet web designs of life's value since 1990.
The other 3 debriefings :
what 21st C new university 2.0 would look like if our objective was never to put last mile sustainability skiled stidnets in debt as well as to cooperatively app as much life critical knowhow as possibe- what beacutiful about knowhow apps is they can multiply value iu=in unse unlike consuming up things
What Glasgow Adam Smith scholars thought of my dad's atempts to connect moral sentiments of smith, with the end poverty future designs of Keynes and actual pracices of up to a billion asian women empowered by a few extrorindairy prople - eg sir fazle abed who chagned his last 50 years of life fromregionl ceo for oil comoany of royal dutch shell to desiging end povery franchsies that vilage mothers could run as very local busiensses as well as participate in edfucational designs.
The economist boardroom's own review of what they did and din not iunderstand of how farher insisted on media reality optymistic rationalism not fear laden fake nd trivial media
This book will start with 2020s web 3 media backwards - how to delive that through the UN2.0 frameworks and other designs that are bot visionary and scaling..
If Von Neumm or pther Greats of maths were alive today, how would they expect mathematicians to participate? We will aim to match this with collaboration concepts Fazle Abed asked for legacy support from half century of goodwill partsnerhip making .
In the scend half of the book we will start from 2 begiining - before 1865 when nodony had telecommunication or electricity grids to exactly how 1 billion dirls built rural nations.
Somewhere along the line we wil intruce coastal and relevant world tradse maps. One of my dad's secret advantages as a reporter was he spent his last days as tean naviagir alied bomber command burma. Lucky to survie this it did give him google maps in his head a generation before others and it explained why he refused to join in negatyive reporting - while always assessimg expoenetial risks and opportunitoes as 2 sides of applying any economit's model
The Un2 franework has 9 transfrmation peieces. We will aim to clarify how this n=books solutiosn and the Un2 support each otyher - if you wish to join in going beyond extinction.
About
2025report.com aims to celebrate first 75 years that followers of Adam Smith , Commonwealth begun by Queen Victoria, James Wilson and dozens of Royal Societies, Keynes saw from being briefed 1951 by NET (Neumann Einstein Turing). Please contacts us if you have a positive contribution - we will log these at www.economistdiary.com/1976 www.economistdiary.com/2001 and www.economistdiary.com/2023 (admittedly a preview!!)
First a summary of what the NET asked to be meidiated to integrate trust during what they foresaw as a chaotic period.
Roughly they foresaw population growth quadrupling from 2 billion to 8 billion
They were most concerned that some people would access million times moore tech by 1995 another million times moore by 2015 another million times moore by 2025. Would those with such access unite good for all. If we go back to 1760s first decade that scots invented engines around Glash=gow University James Wat and diarist Adam Smith we can note this happened just over a quarter of millennium into age of empire. WE welcome corrections be this age appears to have been a hectic race between Portugal, Spain, France Britain Netherlands as probbly the first 5 to set the system pattern. I still dont understand was it ineviatble when say the Porttuguese king bet his nations shirt on navigation that this would involve agressive trades with guns forcing the terms of trade and colonisation often being a 2nd step and then a 3rd steb being taking slaves to do the work of building on a newly conquered land. I put this way because the NET were clear almost every place in 1951 needed to complete both independence and then interdependence of above zero sum trading games. Whils traidning things runs into zero sums (eg when there is overall scarcity) life critical knowhow or apps can multiplu=y value in use. Thats was a defining value in meidting how the neyt's new engineering was mapped. Of course this problem was from 1945 occuring in a world where war had typiclly done of the following to your place:
your capital cities had been flattened by bombing - necessitating architecture rebuild as well as perhaps an all chnage in land ownership
your peoples had gone through up to 6 years of barbaric occupation -how would this be mediated (public served) particularly if you were a nation moving from radio to television
yiu mifgt eb britain have been on winning side but if huge debt to arms you had bought
primarily you might be usa now expected by most outside USSR to lead every advance'
in population terms you might be inland rural (more than half of humans) where you had much the least knowledge on what had hapened because you had been left out of the era of connecting electricity and communications grids
The NETts overall summary : beware experts in energy will be the most hated but wanted by national leaders; and then far greater will be exponential risk is the most brilliant of connectors of our new engines will become even more hated and wanted. We should remember that the NET did not begin with lets design computers. They began with Einstein's 1905 publications; newtonian science is at the deepest limits systemically wrong for living with nature's rules.
WE can thrash through more understanding of how the NET mapped the challenges from 1951 at http://neumann.ning.com/ Unfortunatnely nobody knew that within 6 years of going massively public in 1951 with their new engineering visions, all of the net would be dead. One of the most amzaing documents I have ever seen is the last month's diary of von neumann roughly October 1955 before he became bedridden with cancer. All over usa engineering projects were receiving his last genius inputs. And yet more amazing for those interested in intelligence machines is his last curriculum the computer and the brain scribbled from his bedroom in bethesda and presented posthumously by his 2nd wife Klara at Yale 1957 before she took her own life about a year later. A great loss because while neumann had architected computers she had arguably been the chief coder. Just to be clear Turing also left behind a chief coder Jane who continued to work for Britain's defence planning at cheltenham for a couple of decades. Economistwomen.com I like to believe that the founders of brainworking machines foresaw not only that women coders would be as produytive as men but that they would linking sustainability from bottom up of every community. At least that is a valid way of looking at how primarily 1billion asian women batted the systemic poverty of being disconnected from the outside world even as coastal places leapt ahead with in some cases (G Silicon Valley, whatever you call Japan-Korea south-Taiwan-HK-Singapore access to all of 10**18 times moore
Epoch changing Guides
1 AI Training AI Training.docx
2 Exploring cultural weaknesss of encounters with greatest brain tool.docx
help assemble 100000 millennials summitfuture.com and GAMES of worldrecordjobs.com card pack 1
i lets leap froward from cop26 glasgow nov 2021 - 260th year of machines and humans started up by smith and watt- chris.macrae@yahoo.co.uk-
WE APPROACH 65th year of Neumann's tech legacy - 100 times more tech decade - which some people call Industrial Rev 4 or Arttificial Intel blending with humans; co-author 2025report.com, networker foundation of The Economist's Norman Macrae -
my father The Economist's norman macrae was privileged to meet von neumann- his legacy of 100 times more tech per decade informed much of dad's dialogues with world leaders at The Economist - in active retirement dad's first project to be von neumanns official biographer - english edition ; recently published japanese edition - queries welcomed; in 1984 i co-authored 2025report.com - this was celebrating 12 th year that dad( from 1972, also year silicon valley was born) argued for entrepreneurial revolution (ie humanity to be sustainable would need to value on sme networks not big corporate nor big gov); final edition of 2025report is being updated - 1984's timelines foresaw need to prep for fall of brlin wall within a few months; purspoes of the 5 primary sdg markets were seen to be pivotal as they blended real and digital - ie efinance e-agri e-health e-learning and 100%lives matter community; the report charged public broadcasters starting with BBC with most vital challenge- by year 2000 ensure billions of people were debating man's biggest risk as discrepancy in incomes and expectations of rich & poor nations; mediated at the right time everyone could linkin ideas as first main use of digital webs--- the failure to do this has led to fake media, failures to encourage younger half of the world to maxinise borderless friendships and sdg collabs - see eg economistwomen.com abedmooc.com teachforsdgs.com ecop26.com as 2020s becomes last chance for youth to be teh sustainability generation
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